Google just released fourth quarter earnings. Net Income was down a whopping 68 percent to $382 million (compared to $1.2 billion a year ago), primarily because of a $1 billion impairment charge related Google’s ownership stakes in AOL (for which it took a $726 million writedown) and Clearwire ($355 million writedown). We all know why the AOL stake is worth less than what Google paid for it (just look at Time Warner’s stock.) Instead of the $20 billion that Google’s five percent stake valued AOL at the time of its original investment, its new writedown now values AOL at $5.5 billion.
The Clearwire writedown isn’t surprising either. That is the Wimax company that had disaster written all over it.
Google is also allowing employees with underwater options to swap them for new ones. That is going to cost Google another estimated $460 million over the course of the new vesting period.
Investors will likely ignore the $1 billion charge because they tend to see these sorts of things as one-time events (even when they occur on a regular basis). The charge does not effect Google’s cash flow or cash position. On a non-GAAP basis, Google beat Wall Street estimates, with non-GAAP earnings of $5.10 a share, compared to consensus estimates of $4.96.
Total revenues (including what it pays out to AdSense publishers and other partners) came in at $5.7 billion for the quarter, up 18 percent. For the year, total revenues were $21.8 billion, up 31 percent. Operating income for the quarter (before the impairment charge) was $1.86 billion, up 29 percent. The company had $8.6 billion in cash at the end of the quarter
I am waiting for the earnings call to start. My notes from the conference call (Sergey and Larry are not on the call).
Eric Schmidt: We had strong search query growth year on year, kept lid on costs. 4th Q advertisers invetsted where ROI was the highest, online. took significant writedowns with AOL and Clearwire. Both deals made sense to us then and make sense to us now.
Last Q we said we were in uncharted territory. We don’t know how long this period will last, certainly prepared to get through it no problem.
At least 85% of employees have stock under water. A voluntary stock swap program. Total options expected to make up 3% of total shares outstanding. Employees who swap will discontinued products will low impact. We will continue to review that. [mentions Wiki search]. Will continue to focus on search and advertising. Wouldn’t it be nice if Google understood the meaning of your query? We are looking into things like that.
Android, already billions of page impressions through G1 phone. [Talks about enterprise, resellers].
Patrick Pichette (CFO):
We had another solid quarter,
gross revenue up 18% to $5.7B
Google.com up 22% to $3.8B
AdSense up 4% yoy to $1.7B (partially offset by cleanup efforts on Adsense for search
Paid click growth up 18% yoy, up 10% QoQ
UK soft because of currency, rest of EMEA did better, driven by Germany, France, Netherlands.
Also relative good experience in Brazil
TAC was $1.5B, 27% of advertising revenues
Cost of revenue $707M, up slightly because of data center costs.
Non-GAAP operating profit, $2.4B, 34.6% margin
Approximately 20,000 full time employees in Q4.
Impairment charges excluded from Non-GAAP results.
Capex $386M
Free cash flow, $1.8B, up 73 percent.
Jonathan Rosenberg:
We launched 330 search quality improvements, most significantly the size of our index. Worked hard on latency across the board. We tripled the number of queries that triggered Universal search across images, blogs, books. Adding more books and expanding our index are very important efforts.
More people are searching from mobile phones. Our objective is to make search from a mobile phone as fast and easy as possible.
Android phone has done very well. More phones in the works.
On the ad side, this was one of our strongest quarters for ad quality improvement. We will continue to get smarter about which queries should have ads to show users. We are now only back to where were back in 2008 from a coverage perspective.
beta launched keyword tool, helps advertisers find keywords on which they are not running ads. Most advertisers not maxing out daily budgets, so opportunity there. Launched Display Ad builder to create nice looking display ads straight from AdSense.
YouTube emerging as a key component of display strategy. People browsing for videos hundreds of millions of times a day.
Also launched 100 feature releases to Web-based apps, like chat in Gmail. Momentum is strong in apps, 1 million businesses, 10M users, 3M users in schools [Google apps stats].
Chrome has gotten great user momentum since launch.
Q&A:
Q: Why not more video ad
Eric: We have introduced 2 to 3 new formats for video advertising. All having some traction, have not found anything that drives revenues wildly. Virtually all the new device manufacturers have the ability to display Internet and Youtube content.
Jonathan: We have down quite a few experiments. Hard to match the right format with the right content. We have the in-video ads, also sponsored videos, contest platform, homepage sponsorship, click to buy. We have to come up with a standardized format. a significant constraint.
Q (Imran Khan): If you look at partner revenue growth rate, significantly underperforming Google.com growth rate. Why?
Patrick: On the mix issue, it is true the Adsense revenue was weaker. but Adsense for content had relatively strong quarter. In case of AdSense for search we did a lot of cleanup.
Omid Kordestan: On network, we did a number of quality measures to clean up. in terms of CPC we don’t break those out, but impact from Euro and Pound exchange rates. growth rates in emerging markets that have lower prices so downward pressure.
Jonathan: also consumers are doing more comparison shopping, so clicking through but not buying. or buying lower priced products.
Q: Capex was down significantly for the quarter. Is this a normalized level? Looking at the cost structure of Google, can you give us a sense of how flexible it is?
Patrick: I just want to reiterate we are investing. It just happens we are benefiting from economies of scale and greater efficiencies of our infrastructure. Moore’s law, better utilization. also big data centers are lumpy in the way they are invested. I’d be careful at looking at one quarter for purposes of forward modeling. We are a labor intensive business, so we have a lot of flexibility.
Q (Mark Mahaney): How much more opportunity is there for cost control? On CPC, can you help us think how deflationary CPC trends might be in an environment where lots of businesses might be going out of business.
Patrick: On the first Q, you ave to keep in mind the mindset of the company is to be a growth company. We are just managing responsibly given the environment.
Omid: If recession caused fewer purchases that would hurt us, but I don’t think you’d see CPC rates come down. CPC is really driven by users, not the number of advertisers coming in and out at any given time.
Q: Why is TAC down?
Patrick: The reason for TAC down QoQ is due to mix reasons mostly.
Q (Doug Anmuth): How has philosophy changed on distribution deals with Dell, etc. Why did you not continue to win those deals? And where is ad coverage going?
Omid: On the distribution deals, we are engaged in all of these discussions. We have a number of opportunities, from PC manufacturers to software toolbars that bundle our products like Chrome.
Jonathan: On coverage, we don’t know what the optimal mix is. depends on commercial versus noncommercial queries. We’d like to show fewer ads on queries that do not warrant them, and fewer, better ads on the ones that do.
Q: about advertising environment
Omid: Big customers especially are evaluating online marketing. they continue to take advantage of this, but maybe lower CPCs or size of campaign budgets.
Jonathan: Small and medium advertisers tend to cut their ad budgets less than large advertisers. We think that large advertisers do more across the board cut. Most advertisers do not max out their budgets.
Q: Can you give us an idea for strategy for display advertising (doubleclick, Youtube, etc)?
Omid: we are doing very well with Doubelclick integration. We are getting more inventory because doing a good job integrating. We optimize with AdSense only if they can’t get the higher price, so that is working out well. We feel this is a fragmented market ready for better measurements. Getting more traction here.











first
You’re an idiot.
You guys made me laugh so much!
Atleast they didnt show huge losses like microsoft and didnt remove xxxx number of staff suddenly. Good job google!
First, why you “people” hate Microsoft so much?
Second, Google has lost much more than Microsoft if you’re to consider ratios.
Layoffs will soon hit Google anyway.
(http://www.pcwo...tml?tk=rss_news)
This represents a 22% increase over fourth quarter 2007 revenues of $3.12 billion and a 4% increase over third quarter 2008 revenues of $3.67 billion.”
http://kisalt.net/d2
The strategy of adding ads in new verticals beyond search (Finance, Google Images, Maps) has proven itself this quarter. But, Will it be enough for Q1-2009?
“Google Sites Revenues – Google-owned sites generated revenues of $3.81 billion, or 67% of total revenues, in the fourth quarter of 2008. This represents a 22% increase over fourth quarter 2007 revenues of $3.12 billion and a 4% increase over third quarter 2008 revenues of $3.67 billion.Google Sites Revenues – Google-owned sites generated revenues of $3.81 billion, or 67% of total revenues, in the fourth quarter of 2008. This represents a 22% increase over fourth quarter 2007 revenues of $3.12 billion and a 4% increase over third quarter 2008 revenues of $3.67 billion.”
You forgot to mention that they beat all analyst expections…
Even with the whole AOL investment, I was expecting much more profits from Google.
Why? They seem to be doing pretty well for being in such a tough economy.
Yeah because Google is some kind of supernatural entity that is unaffected by the business cycle.
Well, if anything this is just an even stronger argument for Google to just be Google … and not to try to be everything to everyone.
Cutting a few apps out was just the beginning.
Patrick Pichette not Pitchette
very good article
rc
trading tennis blog
Considering Google’s reach across the Internet, their yearly end revenues are pretty poor.
If you add the 60% Global Share of the Search Engine Market that Google dominates, plus their reach at YouTube, Blogger, AdSense and their Search deal with MySpace, then maybe the Search/Advertising Marketplace is not a huge revenue earnings Industry that has any future growth.
Considering just what experts Google are in the Search/Advertising Marketplace, you would expect them to earn alot more revenues than what they are currently generating.
Remember everyone that uses the Google Search Engine is a potential Paying Customer. No other Company or Industry has that same potential ‘Midas Touch’ to exploit with their Users, in the way that Google has.
Google may have the best Search/Advertising Business Model over the Web, but they most certainly don’t have the right ‘killer app’ for generating better revenues.
3% quarter on quarter revenue increase is a bad omen. Traditionally Google Q4 revenues are much higher than Q3 revenues, presumedly due to the holiday season.
I would not be surprised if Q1 09 revenue would be lower than Q4 08. If so, it would be the first quarterly decrease in revenue for Google.
Wasn’t google frantically turning on different advertising streams in Q4 too? Sounds like they tried to squeeze out some extra drops to meet or exceed shareholder expectations
You guys should invest more in Facebook stock. As clearly pointed out by Moe Glitz, the Big G is doing down.
hahahaha
maybe you dont know but they are gaining market share in youtube, search, gmail. There 3 biggest sites. wait until they decide to go after facebook
hmmm. I see the lack of focus in google team as of last two years. Too many off-shoot projects… some of them like knoll and all adding painful diversity to their portfolio…i think they should also not position themselves as a labor intensive business… For then, they defeat the purpose of being an intelligent machine managed company?? and ad aggregator alone. They should be very selective about choosing products and teams so that their focus is not blurred at any time…
I hope AOL and Google choke on each other.