Comments on: AskMarkets Launches Prediction Market For Crunchbase. Who’s Going To The DeadPool?

By: And we’re TechCrunched! | george tziralis log

And we’re TechCrunched! | george tziralis log — Sun, 12 Jul 2009 09:09:10 +0000

[...] And we’re TechCrunched! [...]

By: George Tziralis

George Tziralis — Thu, 11 Dec 2008 22:20:32 +0000

Thank you all for the interest and comments, I may add that the TechCrunch marketplace is just a showcase of our services, and you may create your very own marketplace within a minute and few clicks at http://askmarkets.com/services

By: Kubo Radio Enters the Deadpool | Digg Photo Blog

Kubo Radio Enters the Deadpool | Digg Photo Blog — Wed, 10 Dec 2008 11:32:35 +0000

[...] AskMarkets Launches Prediction Market For Crunchbase. Who’s Going … TechCrunch ,December 07, 2008 The application lets users bet on the chances any particular startup will be acquired, get additional funding or head to the deadpool in the next year. … [...]

By: StupidIdeaLover

StupidIdeaLover — Tue, 09 Dec 2008 07:14:34 +0000

People really seem to like the TradeVibes Startup Exchange on the site. There is definitely room to tweek it, and make it more challenging/realistic, but if nothing else it’s an interesting way to see how the community values particular startups.

If nothing else, it’s like any other online game, right? You put a lot of time and effort in to something that is completely virtual and that will not give you any monetary return of any kind. I’m not 100% sure about this, but people really seem to enjoy past times that operate like this (a la MMORPGs? That ring a bell?.) It’s like playing poker with no money. All you lose is a little pride.

I’d rather be playing with fake money than real money in this economy.

By: PlayMoneyLover

PlayMoneyLover — Tue, 09 Dec 2008 05:16:08 +0000

I like dabbling on the TradeVibes exchange for fun. Nothing wrong with that and it isn’t their centerpiece, it’s a feature. I go there to cross-check and look up info and if I have time, I tweak my portfolio. AskMarkets’ focus IS prediction markets and play money so I’d say it’s beyond a feature, it’s a wrong biz idea (by your definition).

By: StupidIdeaHater

StupidIdeaHater — Tue, 09 Dec 2008 00:30:11 +0000

I assume AskMarkets did this cuz they knew it would likely get mentioned on TC. If I’m right there, good job marketing your product.

If this is supposed to be a biz idea in of itself, I must say that the idea of trading imaginary dollars in companies with imaginary business models is not really all that interesting.

To make things worse, this terrible trading exchange idea has already been done by TradeVibes (www.tradevibes.com). Two wrongs unfortunately still don’t make a right.

Given market meltdown, I’d suggest people focus on trying to make real money – not imaginary. If you really want to trade in this crap-fest, short the whole thing. There will be a few winners but overall, you’ll be the winner of the most imaginary dollars.

When will the madness stop/

By: HostGuru.org » Blog Archive » AskMarkets Launches Prediction Market For Crunchbase.

Sun, 07 Dec 2008 22:21:57 +0000

[...] AskMarkets Launches Prediction Market For Crunchbase. Greek startup AskMarkets, which lets users create and participate in non-cash prediction markets of any kind, has created a prediction market for startups in CrunchBase. The application lets users bet on the chances any particular startup will be acquired, get additional funding or head to the deadpool in the next year. An example: users say Animoto has a 51.5% chance of being acquired, a 25% chance of being funded and a 23.4% chance of deadpooling. I bought some shares of “get acquired” because I love this startup’s focus on on making one product perfectly while competitors [...]

By: AskMarkets、バーチャル予測マーケットをローンチ―デッドプール行きは誰だ？

AskMarkets、バーチャル予測マーケットをローンチ―デッドプール行きは誰だ？ — Sun, 07 Dec 2008 16:13:00 +0000

[...] provided by CrunchBaseCrunchBase InformationCrunchBaseInformation provided by CrunchBase[原文へ]（翻訳：Namekawa, U） ShowListings(”arc3″); ShowListings(”arc2″); AddClipsUrl = [...]

By: Askmarkets.com, previsioni di mercato provenienti dal basso « Scoprendo il Web 2.0

Sun, 07 Dec 2008 16:01:52 +0000

[...] via TechCrunch [...]

By: vrypan|net|weblog » askmarkets @ crunchbase

vrypan|net|weblog » askmarkets @ crunchbase — Sun, 07 Dec 2008 12:10:38 +0000

[...] Το askmarkets.com αναφέρεται στο TechCrunch! [...]

By: EM

EM — Sun, 07 Dec 2008 07:46:45 +0000

i pick Obama.
i don’t think Apple’s price will double “again” in the next year.
i think askmarkets should update their homepage with more current questions.

what did i win?

By: Chris

Chris — Sun, 07 Dec 2008 02:54:24 +0000

http://www.pehu...ers-since-1974/

“Worst Monthly Job Numbers Since 1974
Posted on: December 5th, 2008″

The one time re-hashing pe-hub would have been a good weekend story and you didn’t!

By: John

John — Sun, 07 Dec 2008 02:43:16 +0000

Too many problems..

By: Chris

Chris — Sun, 07 Dec 2008 01:40:43 +0000

Here, I’m leaving my real email in case you’re interested. I’d need 2-3 months to set up the entire system and the front end where people could buy the data Gartner style.

By: Chris

Chris — Sun, 07 Dec 2008 01:39:30 +0000

I still have my contact at Mangrove, and at other VCs and I still have my pedatacenter membership to pull term sheets.

The VCs could feel threatened by non-publicity for non-participation and the polls could be bi-weekly or monthly.

The data could go for 3-5k per pdf just like Gartner. I’d take 30% plus a flat fee for doing all the tech work and setting up the CMS for the VCs to take the surveys.

By: Chris

Chris — Sun, 07 Dec 2008 01:36:48 +0000

The only way you could do this for real is to poll VCs.

Askmarket’s data is not ever going to be accurate.
Only TC or somebody could pull that off because they have access.

Mike Arrington *could* make TONS of money by polling VCs and selling the data.
Schonfeld is pretty good with Excel, he could give Gartner a run for their money.

I am on the brink of dissolving my LLC Mike, you wanna outsource that to us??

I can’t leave my day job to do it, but I can put it together with my employees.

I know the techs over at TC can’t handle this.

By: Ali B.

Ali B. — Sun, 07 Dec 2008 01:22:16 +0000

I think prediction markets are much more accurate when people have to put their money where their mouth is. With no real money involved, I’m not sure how well its going to work.

Also having too many markets might make things less liquid

By: jailbait

jailbait — Sun, 07 Dec 2008 01:13:57 +0000

luvu2

By: me

me — Sun, 07 Dec 2008 00:39:14 +0000

yeah didn’t work for me either. ff3. after signup couldn’t login. after selecting a category no listings display. search didn’t return my startup. second page of 10 paginated returned nothing.

good idea tho i’m keen to see it work.

By: AskMe

AskMe — Sat, 06 Dec 2008 23:44:15 +0000

I predict AskMarkets will go to the deadpool in exactly 6 months time. I’m 100% certain. If only I could place a real bet.

By: Oo

Oo — Sat, 06 Dec 2008 22:41:57 +0000

Too much startups..

By: ali

ali — Sat, 06 Dec 2008 22:37:31 +0000

http://www.eskibirsaat.com

By: Bet on the Internet Dead Pool with AskMarkets | Monty's Mega Marketing

Bet on the Internet Dead Pool with AskMarkets | Monty's Mega Marketing — Sat, 06 Dec 2008 22:17:44 +0000

[...] AskMarkets even started a prediction market for startups inside CrunchBase, which is TechCrunch’s proprietary database of internet [...]

By: Jeff Widman

Jeff Widman — Sat, 06 Dec 2008 22:14:47 +0000

This is awesome!
Well done AskMarkets.

Fascinating data could come from examining trends here along with http://www.crunchvision.com/ geographical data to further drill down.

Doing it well would require a mashup of two mashups.

By: Tavi Nathanson

Sat, 06 Dec 2008 22:14:29 +0000

It looks like the options don’t change for public companies.

Will Microsoft “get (further) funding,” “get acquired,” or “head to the deadpool”? Hmm. Tough call