Comments on: Can We Predict The Outcome of The Presidential Election With Each Candidate’s Traffic Data?

By: Hypnosis Guy

Hypnosis Guy — Sun, 17 May 2009 13:27:16 +0000

Why wouldnt seriously play a role here?

By: Paul

Paul — Thu, 11 Sep 2008 21:54:21 +0000

The next president to be swearn into office will be Al Gore.

By: michael

michael — Thu, 04 Sep 2008 08:01:49 +0000

@john
I agree – traffic numbers do not cut it!
I get my overview from the polls.
I use a widget to keep track of the progression of polls. The widget shows the election polls by strength of states.
In addition to other different graphical visualizations of data, this one displays the progression of votes over time.

It gives a great overview and is updated when the new polls come in!
http://www.youc...s/1218019592041

… and its easy to put on your blog!

Make a difference, keep on voting!

By: carollowery

carollowery — Tue, 02 Sep 2008 17:50:02 +0000

NO…unless you are just counting the youth in america!

By: New journalism tools: Data analytics and social media tracking | Will Sullivan's website. Journerdism

Tue, 02 Sep 2008 04:04:45 +0000

[...] noticed from this year’s presidential election has been the use of data and social media in tracking/predicting news [...]

By: Oh, what a tangled web we weave… » The US Presidential election on the Web

Sat, 30 Aug 2008 16:05:33 +0000

[...] TechCrunch posted an interesting entry about recent data from HitWise about the traffic the two candidates for the presidential election in the US have had to their Web sites. Although the data can hardly be used for any predictions of the outcome of the election, it is still interesting to see different ways to use and analyze data collected from and about the Web. [...]

By: Christian

Christian — Sat, 30 Aug 2008 00:35:58 +0000

No way in hell. Completely different group of people voting for McCain and Obama

By: ONLINE SERVICES/INTERACTIVE MEDIA « Daily Marauder

ONLINE SERVICES/INTERACTIVE MEDIA « Daily Marauder — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 22:53:39 +0000

[...] not shed much light on the forthcoming election’s outcome, they reveal a few interesting trends. (http://www.tech...popular-and-can... [...]

By: links for 2008-08-29 « 個人的な雑記

links for 2008-08-29 « 個人的な雑記 — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 22:13:40 +0000

[...] Can We Predict The Outcome of The Presidential Election With Each Candidate’s Traffic Data? (tags: politics aggregator socialmedia research) [...]

By: Respublikonai aktyvesni internete? : nežinau.lt

Respublikonai aktyvesni internete? : nežinau.lt — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 17:54:06 +0000

[...] JAV prezidentas būtų renkamas pagal žmonių apsilankymus oficialiose abiejų partijų kandidatų svetainėse, tai rinkimus laimėtų John [...]

By: John Kreuzer

John Kreuzer — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 17:19:22 +0000

I’m not sure how accurate this will be since it’s just based upon traffic. Without stereotyping, I would assume that more liberal voters tend to visit candidates Web sites. Also, there appears to be no account for 3rd party candidates. Still an interesting study to look at.

http://kreuzer3...s-traffic-data/

By: Michael Irizarry

Michael Irizarry — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 17:05:53 +0000

You can check on alexa and compare.
http://tinyurl.com/6kolkj

Obama is clearly winning on web visits by a landslide.

By: Nigel Eccles

Nigel Eccles — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 16:25:17 +0000

Interesting data point but you would be better sticking to prediction markets which have proven predictive power:
http://www.hubd...om/election_map
or:
http://electora...p.net/index.php

By: Chris Pratt

Chris Pratt — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 16:23:51 +0000

@Yann – it is perhaps true that the media does not consider third party candidates, but logistically, third party candidates don’t help Nielsen ratings. The media will always focus on the the big two as long as they remain the big two.

And, no exposure means fat-chance-in-hell of winning the election, so it’s not presumptuous at all to say that a third-party candidate will not win. That’s just life, man, no point in whining about it.

By: 7P

7P — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 13:38:01 +0000

Until we can text our votes in from our cell phones, I don’t see young people voting…

By: Sigurd Magnusson

Sigurd Magnusson — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 13:07:57 +0000

For another source of data, check out the Democratic National Convention’s SMS map; http://www.demc...on.com/sms-map/

Shows where people’s concerns are.

By: Yann

Yann — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 12:29:24 +0000

Once again, thanks for parroting mass media propaganda and completely ignoring 3rd party candidates. Just ’cause they’re censored by FOX doesn’t oblige you to do the same…

Yes, they’re OTHER people running for president. No, you’re not being objective when you say “they can’t win.” You’re just repeating what TV tells you to think. You call yourself “realistic” when your reality is TV.

Pretty sad.

By: dave

dave — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 11:41:54 +0000

These numbers won’t have any predictive power over who wins the election. Not only is it too soon, but looking at someone’s web site doesn’t translate to a vote. At least I just can’t see it happening that way. It would be interesting to see how many of the visitors to a candidate’s web site visited the other’s web site. That might be a sign of a more informed (enlightened? intelligent? responsible?) voter.

By: Answer

Answer — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 09:34:02 +0000

No.

By: The Pool » Blog Archive » ~C4Chaos (friend of Mona N.): Can We Predict The Outcome of The Presidential Election With Each Candidate’s Traffic Data? (via FriendFeed)

Fri, 29 Aug 2008 05:19:20 +0000

[...] ~C4Chaos (friend of Mona N.) posted a link Can We Predict The Outcome of The Presidential Election With Each Candidate’s Traffic Data? [...]

By: hmlwh's me2DAY

hmlwh's me2DAY — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 05:14:43 +0000

LeeWonHee의 생각…

트래픽 분석을 통한 대선결과 예측…

By: Sam

Sam — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 04:39:42 +0000

How about sending me some traffic… Vote on Offshore drilling.
http://www.dump...t-your-opinion/
Internet traffic might not be the best predictor of who will win, but it can def. let you express yourself.
Is Offshore drilling just for votes?

By: Ceramic Ball

Ceramic Ball — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 03:45:13 +0000

I visited the websites of both Obama and Mccain .I don’t think website traffic trends can have any impact on the election.

By: sqylogin

sqylogin — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 03:43:05 +0000

So, I think the post did not answer the question posed in the title. Seems to be an “I don’t know” to me!

By: pow

pow — Fri, 29 Aug 2008 03:15:49 +0000

Do we have similar data on the last election? Otherwise, it is too premature to infer anything from the data we have.