Comments on: Can Google Trends Predict The Election?

By: American Idol: Does Google Know the Winner? — First Bytes

American Idol: Does Google Know the Winner? — First Bytes — Wed, 20 May 2009 20:13:17 +0000

[...] days, and unlike subject specific tools like Dial Idol, Google is a generic tool. American Idol isn’t the only contest to be predicted by analyzing search traffic. Share this [...]

By: Obama versus McCain – Can Emotional Identification Influence Voting Decisions? Can Search Trend Tools Predict Tomorrow? | Trendsspotting

Mon, 16 Mar 2009 11:10:29 +0000

[...] to identification and sympathy and in turn influence the decision making of voters? And as asked by TechCrunch few months ago: Can Google Trends predict the election? Sphere: Related Content Leave a [...]

By: jack

jack — Mon, 24 Nov 2008 02:52:05 +0000

Hey,Now,everything is kind of clear
The statistic really shows some trend

By: Trend spotting, Internet trends, Marketing research & predictions

Trend spotting, Internet trends, Marketing research & predictions — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 04:38:15 +0000

By: tenketing.net » Presidentvalg og internett-trender

tenketing.net » Presidentvalg og internett-trender — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 11:56:33 +0000

[...] Flere har synset om Google Trends kan forutsi presidenvalget i USA, fordi trenden fra nominasjonsvalget kan tilsi at det gir en god prognose. [...]

By: skyluhh

skyluhh — Fri, 03 Oct 2008 18:17:48 +0000

IVAN!
mydads name,hahah

By: Martines

Martines — Sat, 30 Aug 2008 23:53:18 +0000

I see it also, Google Trends is amazing tool. User decide it here. http://www.iLik...230;googletool/

By: Chinese Numerology vs Google Trends | Politickler

Chinese Numerology vs Google Trends | Politickler — Fri, 22 Aug 2008 09:40:54 +0000

[...] Easy enough to understand. Some dude in the States used it to predict the American elections and even claimed it to be as accurate as or more accurate than traditional tracking poll. The Press is recommended not to ignore it and candidates can use it to see which state they need to focus on. Source: http://www.tech...t-the-election/ [...]

By: US election results. Now. | Window on the Media

US election results. Now. | Window on the Media — Tue, 19 Aug 2008 14:38:22 +0000

[...] at predicting, based only on the number of searches for a certain candidate’s name (see Techcrunch for the tale of such an experiment), I used Google Insights’ archives of the 2004 [...]

By: Introduction to Google Trends (Part One)

Introduction to Google Trends (Part One) — Mon, 21 Jul 2008 15:38:52 +0000

[...] tool last month to try correlating Google Trends results with the US primaries, which generated a lot of response — much of it quite negative. My approach was just a quick look to satisfy my [...]

By: Hamish Fowler

Hamish Fowler — Sat, 05 Jul 2008 19:25:02 +0000

But not everyone searching for Obama will vote for him. So it isn’t very accurate really. Still, interesting things you see in it and I recon it will be accurate enough most of the time for large enough search volumes over large enough times.

By: Kudzu Fire

Kudzu Fire — Thu, 12 Jun 2008 01:52:14 +0000

Drill Here. Drill Now. Pay Less. Sign the petition. Don’t let Barrack Hussein Obama make you pay more for gas.

By: Anne

Anne — Tue, 10 Jun 2008 14:59:14 +0000

I guess I’m an illiterate redneck, because I WOULD NOT vote for Nobama if you paid me!, even though I am sure many people would. I don’t need to Google BHO – I’ve heard more than enough – AND I AM NOT IMPRESSED!!!

By: Tom

Tom — Tue, 10 Jun 2008 14:11:12 +0000

If i want to know anything about the candidates I ask google.

Many people don’t know obama. He’s THE new man, mccain is already known.

By: ONLINE SERVICES/INTERACTIVE MEDIA « Daily Marauder

ONLINE SERVICES/INTERACTIVE MEDIA « Daily Marauder — Tue, 10 Jun 2008 04:13:39 +0000

[...] be ignored by either candidate, the press, or anyone interested in the outcome of the election. (http://www.tech...ct-the-election [...]

By: Andy Wong

Andy Wong — Tue, 10 Jun 2008 00:33:29 +0000

!!! Don’t forget the silent majority, who don’t surf the Internet but go to the polling stations. !!!.

XXX Trends simply won’t be able to predict anything outside the Internet.

By: DancesWithFascists

DancesWithFascists — Mon, 09 Jun 2008 20:16:31 +0000

I agree with “zm”. A lot of the ignorant Christian bigots and barely-literate rednecks who’ll be voting McCain aren’t likely to be computer users, so the Google results are skewed toward more-intelligent Obama supporters.

By: Owen

Owen — Mon, 09 Jun 2008 16:22:25 +0000

you know, there are actual statistical tools that work to look at things like prediction and trending – but using them would require some understanding of statistics and how large aggregate numbers work.

This may be the worst piece you guys have ever written – and it could have been one of the best. Bone up on your T-tests and chi-squared analysis and come back to us with something real.

By: Skeptic

Skeptic — Mon, 09 Jun 2008 16:03:30 +0000

Wow. Biased and extremely flawed. This looks to be a case of deciding you would like a specific outcome, and manipulating data to back your desired result up.

Monkeys picking stocks.

By: Vladimir D

Vladimir D — Mon, 09 Jun 2008 13:22:05 +0000

I’m reading this article and thinking, besides the elections. What would happen if someday Google search becomes so powerful that would predict anyones future and destiny. Imagine, someone is born, and just put his name in search box and you’ll find out about his future, based on the previous Google searches back in history (history repeating). Pretty interesting

By: Jason

Jason — Mon, 09 Jun 2008 07:49:04 +0000

The author of this post can barely spell, let alone find some fantastic method for predicting the US election. Can’t wait to see Obama, as expected, win — and then this moron claim he called it right based on meaningless data.

By: DragonOak

DragonOak — Mon, 09 Jun 2008 07:43:42 +0000

Obama for President!!!!!!

By: ¿Puede Google Predecir las Eleccciones? : La Cofa - Blog de Vigilancia Tecnológica

Mon, 09 Jun 2008 07:03:39 +0000

[...] en TechCrunch un interesante artículo sobre el uso de Google Trends para predecir el resultado de las elecciones [...]

By: Girish

Girish — Mon, 09 Jun 2008 06:02:27 +0000

Google published a 2008 hoax called “gDay”, which claimed it can predict tomorrow’s news today. (http://www.goog...gday/press.html).

I had then argued with a friend, it is not a hoax totally. It is not surprising, if Google – with its vast amount of data archives and a passion to try something unconventional without bothering about making money – comes up with a statistical prediction tool to predict the outcomes of events like elections and sports.

So, this article is in that direction. Good analysis!

By: [sr]

[sr] — Mon, 09 Jun 2008 03:15:27 +0000

Correction to the first portion of my previous comment, “@34, that sounds like” … That was meant for @35 (apologies to Data-debunker, whose inputs I concur with).