May 4, 2008

Yahoo’s Yang Speaks, Notes That Glass Remains Half Full

Michael Arrington

32 comments »

The most notable news this Sunday is what didn’t happen - no Yahoo/Google search deal was announced, meaning there is literally nothing standing between Yahoo and the unholy beating it is going to take when the markets open tomorrow morning.

Yahoo CEO did write a blog post on Yodel Anecdotal today that added to yesterday’s brief response to the Microsoft bid withdrawal. Upbeat in tone, it points to the many product announcements that Yahoo has made recently (Buzz, OneSearch 2.0, voice-activated mobile search, video on Flickr, Shine), product previews (AMP!, SearchMonkey) and the acquisition of Maven Networks.

He also suggested that Microsoft’s version of the negotiation timeline was “nonsense and misinformation,” countering that the Yahoo board “took its mission very seriously.” At this point, that’s really up for the lawyers to work out, as the shareholder lawsuits start to roll in.

Yang says that moving forward they’ll focus their energy on “growing our industry leadership and maximizing value for stockholders.” The hope is clearly that Yahoo’s new Yahoo Open Strategy will save the day. And it may well do that. But many of us remember the promise that Panama would turn the company around and let them compete more effectively with Google. Those promises were never fulfilled.

In many people’s opinion (including mine), they would have maximized shareholder value by simply accepting Microsoft’s offer back in February. Before all the costly severance arrangements, layoffs and high profile employee defections.

One thing Yang gets unambiguously right in his post is when he says “we know the spotlight will probably stay on us for a while.” that’s a certainty. All eyes are on Yahoo. If they stay independent, I certainly hope they nail execution and show that they made the right decision for their users and shareholders by declining Microsoft’s offer.

We’ll check back in tomorrow morning as the markets open to see whether the stockholders agree that Yahoo has “emerged a stronger, more focused company with an even greater sense of purpose” after this ordeal, or if they’re left a skeleton of their former selves, with shell shocked employees who don’t know up from down.

Yahoo’s glass may indeed remain half full. But the markets were expecting to see a Yahoo glass overflowing with Microsoft dollars tomorrow morning. A half full glass gets a half full stock price.

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  1. Albert

    It’s great that Yang stood his grounds with his price and felt strongly in the undervaluation of his stock. As a result, his stockholders might back him up and boost the stock value. However, Microsoft now looks like a hostile company that can’t get what they want.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if Google and Yahoo team up sooner than later to take over Microsoft in the end. Making enemies in that realm is not an option.

  2. No

    How many blog posts are you going to make about mcirosoft withdrawing its bid?

  3. Chris Saad

    I love that graphic! :)

  4. ValleyGuy

    Mike - u turned out to be wrong in this case. U always thought that this was a done deal isn’t it?

  5. John Walker

    @1 How naive can you be? Yahoo has already teamed up with Google in an attempt to poison the MS acquisition. They’ve wound up poisoning themselves.

  6. JC

    This is worth the posts, this deal and the fall out could ripple down to many tech companies. MSFT does not offer $44b as a pastime… this has been monumental.
    Expect some step changes in the industry within 6-9 months.
    MSN to be culled? I wonder….

  7. one hand clapping

    Yahoo did not seek this deal, did not send signals to the market that the company was for sale. Microsoft came knocking in the middle of the night.

    Ballmer made a mistake by publicly putting Yahoo down, and assuming itself the “white knight”, implying that this was not a “marriage of equals”.

    When you pursue a woman, you don’t say, “Yo, girl, you so ugly, let’s get married.”

  8. Mike Abundo

    Will Yahoo shareholders applaud independence and innovation, or will they bitch at their missed payday?

    Let’s find out.

  9. Eve

    I want my $31

  10. Michael Arrington

    One hand clapping - when companies fail to deliver ROI to investors, they might as well hang a for sale shingle on the front door. The hedge fund guys were sniffing at Yahoo before MS came in. If the stock price drops significantly, they’ll be back.

  11. ac

    yang is not fit to be ceo. if you want to turn company around you need to fire people left and right like steve jobs.

  12. Lutfar Rahman Nirjhar

    I am waiting for another day. Show is not over yet, I think. Cheers to TC. :)

  13. Selebriti

    nice stuff

  14. Michael Arrington

    Lutfar - indeed, the show is most likely only beginning.

  15. johns

    Yahoo may be adding new services but their [lack of action in] response to problems, such as extract below of a problem I reported, makes it difficult to depend on them for anything other than casual use.

    ————————————-
    It has been nearly one month since your reply. But I have yet to see any fix or change for this acknowledged problem!

    Why can you not give me an estimate when this will be fixed?

    — Yahoo! Finance wrote:

    > Hello,
    >
    > Thank you for writing to Yahoo! Finance.
    >
    > We sincerely apologize for the issue with “Last Trade” and “Change” data
    > defaulting to 0.00 within Yahoo! Finance Currencies, ETF’s and
    > International markets.
    >
    > At this time, we would like to reassure you that we are doing everything
    > possible to resolve the issue as quickly as we can. Although we can not
    > offer you an estimate as to when this problem will be fixed, please be
    > assured that we are aware that the problem exists and our engineers are
    > further investigating the issue. Unfortunately, we cannot offer any
    > further information regarding this issue.
    >
    > We appreciate your reporting this to us — your input helps us to
    > identify ways to constantly maintain and improve our service. We are
    > always striving to keep Yahoo! Finance as the best place on the planet
    > to stay informed with the latest in financial news and information!
    >
    > Thank you again for contacting Yahoo! Finance.
    >
    > Regards,
    > Derek
    > Yahoo! Customer Care
    > 68282783
    >
    >
    > Original Message Follows:
    > ————————-
    >
    > Let’s not over complicate the matter. My question is simple:
    >
    > For symbol XAUUSD=X, WHY does it not show gain/loss from one day to the
    > next?

  16. mjm

    Yahoo has never executed. Their corporate culture is driven by consensus. Their decision making is glacial. The Chinese have a great saying that captures Yahoo - “Small Children Driving a Big Car”. Their time has passed……

  17. jAcK

    #15 Johns should ask for his money back.

    “Money for nothing and your chicks for free”

  18. David Phillips

    Following Y! for the last few weeks, I notice a raft of new products and initiatives that have arrived or are due to be released soon. Turning the Y! properties into a social network is just one example - they learned from 360 and should do better second time round.

    The ability to be in the race with Goog, is clearly an advantage. Who else is there and when the Goog monopoly comes under pressure, Y! has a head start.

    I say hold and definitely don’t sell.

  19. Riprap

    “…they would have maximized shareholder value by simply accepting Microsoft’s offer back in February.”

    When a company’s primary goal is to maximize shareholder value, they should close up shop. A company’s primary goal is to grow the business. A tech investor’s primary goal is to hopefully profit from that innovation — not from quickee deals and buy-outs.

    While a Microsoft deal might have gained a short term profit for investors, it would’ve decimated Yahoo. Mergers on this scale are last-minute desperate acts, and rarely work.

  20. Trench Reynolds

    If my Yang could speak I’d be a hit at parties.

  21. Tampera

    More we talk about them greater coverage they get and more profit they make ;0

  22. Masseratti

    Ballmer is a quitter
    Yang is stronger
    Arrington is the FUDmaster

  23. tom

    Users and shareholders really should not be lumped into the same camp.

    Most actual users of Yahoo never wanted the deal to happen while shareholders who wanted the deal are only looking for the quick cash out. The only people complaining are those who bet wrong when they had 3 entire months to sell their stock while this whole thing was playing out. Tough luck.

  24. Gan

    I think folks are generally justified to question Yahoo!’s past performance - ‘coz the company has not performed.

    But, the newly laid out strategy is clear and precise. The company’s announcements are clearly furthering that vision one step at a time. However as many mentioned - the key is going to be execution. If the company can stick to the fundamentals and continue delivering quality products as per the plan - Y!’s stock has nowhere to go but up.

    As a long time investor of Y!, I am rooting for them. I would say the company has to beat expectations handily in the upcoming quarter just to take some heat off their back. A solid performance for another additional quarter will make all the naysayers look like jokers.

    Go Yahoo!

  25. Alan Wilensky

    It takes vision too see beyond par value - Yang is either a damned visionary, or so rich that he doesn’t care about widows and orphans portfolios. As for me, a non-stockholder, I think this was a good call, for all the turmoil and things that get planned in mergers, but never get executed with alacrity.

    http://abmw.wordpress.com/2008.....-the-call/

  26. Jim M

    What’s the secret that Yang is going to bring to the table?

  27. Sandeep

    “…they would have maximized shareholder value…”

    Michael: This is the most common line that is said in the boardrooms and in the MBA groups throughout the world. Let me say this: People (including on this blog) have no clue what the meaning of “maximizing shareholder value” is.

    No one can find out the real valuation of any company (public or private). Stock markets are the closest ones. But its very difficult (even for Wall Street) to put a fair valuation on a high-growth, high-tech company because things move very fast in the tech world.

    Microsoft has the money and they should have paid $5 extra for Yahoo. But that would have been a disaster (I explained it in my blog: http://webinsider.blogspot.com).

    This “distraction” was good for Yahoo. A jolt of this kind may give them some energy to regroup and execute. Stock price will not go back to $19. Wall street knows that Yahoo got the jolt and will execute (at least they hope so).

  28. Tower of Hanoi

    will Y! go with some other buyer ? Say if you start listing those companies that can afford to buy Y!.. 1)M$ 2)Google 3)EBay 4)Amazon .. who else ?

  29. Yahoo!

    I can only speak for the foot soldiers at Yahoo!, but for the most part - we are ecstatic to have monkey boy off our back. After years of questionable leadership, Yahoo! does finally have a mission that we can believe in. Props to Jerry for having the balls to stand up to Balmer. Whether we can actually deliver on the new open strategy remains to be seen, but at least we have a goal that makes sense and inspires us to move forward - Mr. Softie would have ruined everything.

  30. Mighty Sam Faceball

    Obviously people don’t seem to understand that shareholder value is not the only measure in the world. There is no law that says Yahoo has an obligation to maximize shareholder value. Their only obligation is to do what they believe is in the best long term interest of the company. No judge or jury is going to second guess the Yahoo board concerning their fiduciary duty in the absence of some kind of gross mismanagement, fraud, conflict of interest or failure to perform due diligence. I’m amazed that so many people think that fucking lawyers and lawsuits somehow illustrate what’s “correct” and “appropriate”. Ninety percent of lawyers are full of shit most of the time.

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