March 11, 2008

20% Of Valley Startups Can’t Get To Their Cash

Michael Arrington

55 comments »

The credit crisis is in full swing through most of the U.S. economy, but it has barely touched venture-fueled Silicon Valley. Until recently, that is. Up to 20% of venture backed startups may have been convinced by their financial advisors to put much of their spare cash into something called Auction Rate Securities, on the promise of money market-like liquidity with better returns. Now, that money is frozen, and startups are scrambling to find a way to free up the cash.

Auction Rate Securities, a $330 billion market, are rolled over periodically (every 7, 28 or 35 days) to allow quick liquidity for investors. In their 20 year existence the markets have never stalled. Until February, that is, when concerns over the health of the municipal bond market froze these auctions. Since then, anyone holding the securities has been unable to get any liquidity, and the end of the freeze is nowhere in sight. Venture capitalist and blogger Paul Kedrosky has been talking about the issue regularly on CNBC.

Some big companies have been hit. Jet Blue, for example, had $611 million, or a 72% of its cash and investment securities, tied up in ARSs. But in an informal survey, twelve out of sixty venture backed startups had some amount of cash in these securities, too. Often without the knowledge of the venture capitalists who financed them. A venture capitalist says that he believes 5-10% of total invested cash is frozen.

Those VCs are now scrambling to help their portfolio companies find alternate sources of cash to meet payroll and other obligations. The first call is often to Silicon Valley Bank, said one venture capitalist who has a number of portfolio companies in “deep cash flow trouble.” Another said that brokers are loaning money back to the companies at about the same rate that the frozen securities are paying, giving them some liquidity.

Comerica has been mentioned in many of the calls I’ve had venture capitalists, who say that the bank advised their clients to invest in ARSs as safe alternatives to money market funds, with a higher rate of return. “We just had no idea this was even a risk at all,” said another VC.

Update: One startup that specializes in illiquid securities, Restricted Stock Partners, is trading ARSs on its electronic market. So that might be an option for some cash-strapped startups.

Update 2: A February 21 note from Silicon Valley Bank enumerates the carnage: “Auction Rate Securities of all forms are failing at a daily rate between 70 to 80 percent or between $15 to 25 billion.” Gulp.

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Comments

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  1. LiveCrunch

    Not to bad for investment. I wish i could of invest more into my website/blog/socialnetwork/gadgets/technology

  2. Boring Market

    A startup without a steady flow of cash, is like a car without oil…it can’t run.

  3. Sean

    That doesn’t really seem fair, in any sense.

  4. Jason Jenkins

    in a way this can be a positive. it forces companies to develop models the old school way, through long hours and hard work. maybe well see more bedroom startups like it used to be in the 90’s (good times). startups getting funded for putting a spin on an already proven model is getting OLD! weve (abstract10.com) been operating for 10 years with our own cash. good things come to those who wait.

  5. yongfook

    thank you baby jesus for this article - interesting, current, and something I had no previous knowledge on. More of this instead of the awful Y Combinator infomercials and endless Facebook coverage, kthxbai.

  6. Richard Blumberg

    “We just had no idea this was even a risk at all.”

    This is a capitalist?

    Richard

  7. Jollyjo

    I hope this helps to also stall the burn rate. Who knows…we may even have a success story coming out of all this.

  8. Raskin

    I was wondering when the credit fallout would hit the valley…ouch.

  9. Nick

    From the NYT article:

    “If these were pitched as cash equivalents, if that is what the broker said they were, the banks may be held responsible for losses and clients’ inability to get their money out,” said Jacob H. Zamansky, a securities lawyer who represents individual investors.

    Legal battles are the last thing most start ups need.

    What is really surprising is that many VCs do have finance backgrounds and they should have known or made themselves aware of the underlying liquidity risks their start ups were facing (if they knew of the deals).

  10. Luis Pereira

    Is Bubble 2.0 on the horizon???

  11. Chris

    A far more interesting question is why are these startups trying to get at their “spare cash”. It sounds like this may be the least of their worries.

  12. carnet

    It is hitting more than just startups, many municipalities and other city/state entities put their money in these ARS b/c they are backed by Federal insurance (e.g. student loan ARS). My startup got hit by these ARS no longer being auctioned (our 28 day auction was cancelled) and we were able to get a line of credit through our broker at the same interest rate we are getting with the ARS. I had to basically sign my life away as the CEO. We are lucky as our burnrate is super low (lean and mean), but other startups are probably having a harder time. I just wonder what a city/state government does when their money is not liquid? Imagine their burn rate.

  13. rossgk

    So it turns out many startups have their cash stuck in their arses - I knew that was going to be a problem.

  14. Roy

    From NYT: Bristol-Myers Squibb has already taken a $275 million write-off on money they invested in ARS that they were unable to sell because of failed auctions.

    Are the start ups going to have to do the same? Are the 20% of valley start ups that have their cash in ARS going to fail because of this?

  15. Gubatron

    The more reason to be cheap like Jason

  16. Michael Arrington

    one VC, speaking off record, said that some of their portfolio companies would likely fail because of this. When I asked him why he wouldn’t loan the companies money, he said that perhaps they wouldn’t make the investment decision again given where the companies have gone, and that the fact that there are other VCs investing makes it hard/impossible to figure out who should pay how much.

    translation: they are on their own.

  17. joeter

    @Richard - agreed.

    I’m a senior in college and am looking to get involved in startups in the Bay Area after I graduate - so I’ve been watching our economy very closely. I was able to realize getting an investment bank job would not be the smartest opportunity to pursue. I’m fearful for some of my friend’s positions…

    Basically, the major investment banks created CDOs (collateralized debt obligations), which were sold in ARS markets with a minimum investment of 25k. These banks kept releveraging themselves on value that never really existed. Now, since the housing bubble has collapsed (as it was guaranteed to - it was a faulty assumption to think housing prices would never slow) these cash flows have completely dried up.

    Also, the AAA bond insurers do not have enough cash to back all the defaulted claims since the investment banks are INSOLVENT.

    Expect increasing margin calls on these banks - a lot of them will have to sell off faulty divisions and possibly reconsolidate.

    Here is a great post from market ticker that explains what caused this issue:

    http://market-ticker.denninger.....thers.html

    I hope some of you find it useful. There are rough times ahead for the next few years.

  18. ANurag

    @joeter: So buy PUTS of bonds and make $s?

  19. Alex

    Fred Wilson from Union Square wrote a post about his recent personal experience with these securities. His post was very detailed and worth reading .

    I spoke to a former colleague of mine at a major Wall Street yesterday regarding these securities. I wanted to get the scoop seeing if there were issues below the radar. Basically, he went on to say that there are “some” issues going on and he CAN NOT get into them over the phone.

    As this post byMichael Arrington has pointed out the lack of liquidity in these particular securities has created a nightmare scenario for these large financial institutions and customers alike. REMEMBER back after the last bubble burst how individual investors were suing there brokers for putting them into Internet stocks? Well, you are going to see a flood of lawsuits hit the street very soon. Just type in “auction rates” into Google andyou’ll see lawyers starting to advertise their services. Unfortunately or *fortunately* the stock brokers that were telling their investors to put their cash balances in these securities fully did not understand the risks or simply did not care because the commission payout was higher than having their clients money sitting/parked in a traditional money market.

  20. Marzipan from Toledo

    VC cash is drying up faster than a beached whale. A lot of them had their own cash invested in ASR’s as well ….

  21. Steve

    As well as tech and web blogs, I’ve been following several doom and gloom economics blogs too recently. It always felt odd to me that the two sets would never cross over into the other’s territory - like the web world was working independently of the financial problems coming down the pipeline - so it’s interesting to see this post indeed.

  22. HA!

    @6 Right on!

  23. sprezzatura

    So when are some names going to get named? I am looking at jobs at a couple of startups right now and I don’t want to accept a job at a company that’s on this list.

  24. Sundar Krishnamurthy

    And these securities are called…ARS’s?

    That explains a whole lot of things ;-).

  25. AppVenue

    @16 “translation: they are on their own.”

    Time for them to make more apps… translates to revenue.. forget the VC.

  26. MFrezz

    The Fed just boosted their securities lending program by offering $200 billion in additional liquidity. Hopefully this will trickle down to these startups.

    Does anyone know if these securities are still paying their regularly scheduled dividends? If they have defaulted, that is a very troubling situation.

    @23 - I’m sure a startup that has liquidity issues will not be hiring anyone.

  27. Dyde

    Let’s see what this does to VCs average ROI. As if it wasn’t pitifully low.

  28. Edoardo

    Found a possible solution http://www.web2bm.com . There is the need to distribute the costs, The way that is explained on this document is a possibility.

  29. Vee

    @26

    These securities are paying their interest. None of them (that I know of) have defaulted on these bonds. The problem is liquidity - these are auctions, so if there aren’t enough bidders in the auction then investors are not able to cash out their holdings.

    In fact, many of these bonds have provisions to pay extremely high interest when auctions fail. While investors have no liquidity they end up getting 5, 6, 7 or even 10+% completely tax free (since these are muni bonds). These provisions are supposed to reward investors for lack of liquidity, and they are doing just that.

    So that becomes the 2nd problem - this time for bond issuers. They end up being locked up into paying extremely high interest, which endangers their ability to pay. This makes the original problem (lack of buyers) worse since people are even more afraid to invest. Vicious cycle..

    Most of these bond issuers are probably scrambling to refinance.

  30. Francisco

    How ironic, today is the 8th anniversary of the dot com crash of 2000. Check this out:

    http://www.investopedia.com/fe.....ashes8.asp

  31. Brendan M. O'Connor

    For those looking for a place to sell your auction rate securities, I encourage you to visit the Restricted Securities Trading Network (RSTN) at http://www.RestrictedSecurities.net. The RSTN is the largest centralized secondary market for ARS. The firm I work for, Restricted Stock Partners, manages the RSTN. Alternatively, please feel free to call me directly at 212.668.3909 or via email at boconnor@restrictedstockpartners.com with any questions. Regards, Brendan O’Connor

  32. Steve Elbows

    Well apparently the housing bubble was a big cushion from the dot com crash, so we havent even really lived up to the fallout from 2000 yet, let alone what will happen with the latest crisis.

    From what Ive read it seems that over at least several decades, much of the world and its institutions have got into a situation where a large proportion of the ‘wealth’ that exists is just a mirage, and this has started to unravel over the last 8 months.

    Liquidity is certainly a big issue now, I dont think its started to bite noticably in the tech sector yet but Im sure it will, given time.

    Does advertising spend decrease a lot during recessions or depressions? If so then I guess that could change the face of the web and how business is done forever.

    In some ways I think an era of economic woe and possible resource shortages, could find the internet even more useful to humans, and profitable to some. One of the things that makes the net attractive is just how cheaply some useful things can be done, but this advantage is often lost due the large amounts of money that seem to get spent on unnecessary things.

    Part of the current economic picture seems to be that as western banks etc have money problems, they are sometimes getting partially bought by foreign sovereign wealth funds. Are there many foreign investors in English-speaking websites so far? Maybe they could come to the rescue, although its usually so easy to copy such sites and avoid all of the costs and exposure to the US consumer & dollar, that maybe this lifeline wont be available.

  33. Ivan

    Fred Wilson (VC blogger) is good on this and his run in with them:
    http://avc.blogs.com/a_vc/2008.....-with.html

  34. MMT

    ARS come in two forms 1) municipal and 2) closed end funds. If the money is invested in municipal bond ARS the start-ups should be able to get their cash out because the rates soar to 10-15% upon a failed auction (no municipality wants to pay that and will refinance which generally takes 5-6 weeks). If a business has invested in the close-end fund ARS they may never get their money back because the default rates on these are much, much lower. There is no reason for the fund to return the money.

    ARS were considered cash equivalent securities (sort of, open to interpretation) until last year when FASB clarified the definition of ARS and recommended they be removed from cash flow statements. Many investment bankers believe this may have triggered the collapse in the ARS auction market.

    BestCashCow has quite a few articles on ARS.
    http://www.bestcashcow.com/lib.....securities

  35. gregory

    two things i have rarely seen here on tc, discussion of the house-of-cards economy, and on the limitations of bandwidth on the net

    reality will change that

  36. chrisco

    Just goes to show you can’t trust Wall Street salesman… that whole system if one big perversion of wrong incentives. But then again, only the greedy are vulnerable. Maybe that’s a little harsh, but the KISS principal applies to pretty much everything, including (especially) Wall Street exotics peddled by overpaid Amway salesmen out to earn the biggest commissions for themselves, damn the customer. True, if you kill the customer, the money stops… but you can’t kill all of the customers, as new ones are born every minute. See here for a summary of how it all works: http://chrisco.wordpress.com/2.....-download/

  37. ty

    http://www.auctionratesecurity.com

  38. Assaf

    What people have to keep in mind is that these auctions have not defaulted, yet. The issue is liquidity as some people have already mentioned.

    It’s incredible how it works too…people need to take note that their may be some upcoming liquidity issues, so everyone sells to prevent getting caught, and in the process REALLY creates a liquidity issue.

  39. johns

    You could of read about this problem in one of my favorite financial blogs back on 2/21

    It’s too late to protect your ARS:
    http://globaleconomicanalysis......r-ars.html

  40. Amway Salesman

    chrisco: maybe the people who bought these securities should take some personal responsibility instead of blaming greedy Wall Street salesmen?

    The problems with all of these voodoo securities have been well-known to people who actually took the time to understand what they were being sold. Most people, however, chose not to do any research or to ignore the risks.

    The idiots who bought these piles of garbage deserve what they get. If you work at a startup that goes belly up because management put its “spare cash” into an ARS to generate a return (as opposed to using its “spare cash” to generate a return through a viable business model) then blame your management, not the Wall Street salesman who sold them on ARSes.

    Wake up America. Lawyers and government cannot bail you out. Accept that you have made stupid decisions, fix your mistakes and move on.

  41. There's The Bubble!

    For everyone who survived Web 1.0 (like me), and has been waiting for Bubble 2.0 to burst, here it is.

    Good luck, all. Been there, done that.

  42. AN

    @40:

    > If you work at a startup that goes belly up because management put its “spare cash” into an ARS to generate a return (as opposed to using its “spare cash” to generate a return through a viable business model) then blame your management, not the Wall Street salesman who sold them on ARSes.

    The problem with that notion is that Venture Capital doesn’t come in a steady stream, it comes in rounds of investment — i.e. lump sums. If you’re spending all of your cash this month, you won’t make payroll next month. So after you get your financing, you’re sitting on a pile of cash that decreases at whatever your burn rate is.

    If you have that cash buried under your mattress, you receive no interest on that money, so it loses value at the rate of inflation. If you have it in a savings account, it’s generally only slightly better. So typically, you want to invest it in money market funds, CDs, or other minimal-risk, highly liquid cash equivalents.

    After an unblemished 20-year track record, ARSes were believed to be highly liquid cash equivalents, even by the financial professionals who worked with them. It’s not like these companies were investing in exotic currency or real-estate derivatives — this was supposed to be as low risk as an investment not backed by the FDIC can get.

    Unless you think we should all keep a chest full of Krugerrands buried in the back yard for when the revolution comes, this is a problem that could have befallen pretty much anyone who worked with a financial adviser to try to find a good place to put money that needed to be accessible in the short term.

  43. Scott Rafer

    @nick, i.e. commenter #9, “…many VCs do have finance backgrounds…”

    The number is quite low as a percentage.

  44. chrisco

    @40: That was part of my point… saying “only the greedy are vulnerable.” I guess I should have said “greedy and stupid,” but the point is people are idiots for buying sh-t they don’t understand. And they are idiots for even listening to [most] Wall Street salesmen, most of whom don’t even understand the crap they are selling, just that if they get you to buy it they will make a lot of money and can high-five each other around the locker-room.

  45. chrisco

    @42: So he choice is securities with tricky features or gold buried in the back yard, huh? There’s nothing in between. Right.

  46. Cost Cutting Goes Wrong

    @45: The irony is, if you bought and buried that gold 2 years ago, you’d have more than doubled your money now. Gold then was roughly $400 an ounce…now it’s $1,000

  47. Amway Salesman

    “After an unblemished 20-year track record, ARSes were believed to be highly liquid cash equivalents, even by the financial professionals who worked with them. It’s not like these companies were investing in exotic currency or real-estate derivatives — this was supposed to be as low risk as an investment not backed by the FDIC can get.

    Unless you think we should all keep a chest full of Krugerrands buried in the back yard for when the revolution comes, this is a problem that could have befallen pretty much anyone who worked with a financial adviser to try to find a good place to put money that needed to be accessible in the short term.”

    BS. People knew that these were vulnerable to liquidity problems:

    http://www.svbassetmanagement......es0704.pdf
    http://www.svbassetmanagement......es0405.pdf
    http://www.svbassetmanagement......es0606.pdf
    http://www.svbassetmanagement......es0907.pdf

    That first document was posted in 2004 and the SEC started an investigation into the market in June of that year. If that’s not ample warning I don’t know what is.

    In 2005, PricewaterhouseCoopers issued an advisory stating that ARSs were not cash equivalents.

    Net-net: startups should have kept their money in money market funds. The risks of ARSs were known and if they didn’t know, they were stupid or hired sh*tty financial advisors. And they deserve what they get. Good riddance!

  48. Dave Johnston

    Depression 2.0

    We’re about a year into it already, the only question is just how much Keynesian wizardry is going to be tried before the markets (cash and trade, not just Wall St) shake themselves out of it. Failing entities need to be allowed to fail, and we’ll all start over and build it back up again.

  49. DV Henkel-Wallace

    I figure the LPs can put their money into exotic interments on their own — they don’t need me to do it.

    My attitude (and answer to anyone who came up with a bright idea for the cash) has always been that our investors put the money in to fund our business, and we’re not in the financial engineering business. So the money from the funding goes into a CDs/ Commercial paper. I’d rather worry about development / shipping / customer acquisition and not about the cash in the bank.

  50. Foghorn Leghorn

    Don’t you think we ought to cut taxes again??? I heard, I say, I heard that it leads to a boom…