November 3, 2007

Combating Piracy: Earth To Big TV

Duncan Riley

53 comments »

yaar.jpgBig TV is close to clueless when it comes to combating piracy. There have been some steps in the right direction. Hulu looks like it might actually end up with some limited appeal, and CBS and ABC are heading in the right direction with their respective online offerings (HD shut down aside). However big TV still really doesn’t get it: BitTorrent continues to thrive like it never has before, dishing up the latest and greatest of American television to an ever increasing audience. Here’s a few tips the American television networks need to absorb

1: It’s all about choice

NBC and Fox, Hulu may have opened with reasonable reviews but it’s still a train wreck when it comes to combating piracy. Where do we start? No downloads for one. People want to take their media with them, and be able to play it on devices such as the iPod. Apple may not have been paying you what you wanted NBC, but its a lot more than the hundreds of thousands, perhaps even millions of folks downloading your shows off BitTorrent are paying you, some of who were previously paying iTunes customers. Big TV needs to provide their shows in a variety of formats to suit as many people as possible..which really isn’t that hard.

2. Imposed geographic restrictions no longer work

If Hulu is in part about combating privacy by providing a legal, ad supported alternative, why does it block anyone from outside of the United States (and possibly Canada) from playing the content? It’s all about international distribution deals, the crappy deals that mean that viewers in Europe and Australasia can sometimes wait 2-3 years to view content broadcast in the United States. This delay is the reason 59% of the French watch television on their computers. You want to dramatically reduce piracy? Then open up your content to the world. The international content partners will not be happy with this, but pay them a cut of the advertising, in the same way Fox is already doing with affiliate stations within the United States. Like NBC and iTunes, the opportunity cost of not providing this service is zero revenue in an international context with direct views, and declining revenue over the longer term as non-American audiences watch less and less American television via FTA or cable. Take what you can and provide a legal alternative to your international viewers. People are willing to deal with advertising for a legal alternative when the legal alternative is available and it is easy to access..particularly when it’s easier than illegal alternatives.

3. Always On, Always Available

New episodes on Hulu will be available to view for 5 weeks, and not a day more. WTF? What if a consumer hears positive word of mouth 6 weeks after a series has started and wants to watch from the beginning. In NBC’s case no iTunes, no Hulu but yes, it will be on BitTorrent. Memo to big TV: let your consumers decide how long TV shows should be available as opposed to imposing arbitrary restrictions. You’re selling advertising based on views, what difference does it make if the show is available for 6 months instead of 6 weeks, aside from your DVD DRM infested show season sales…which is really what this is about.

4. Stop treating your audience as if it were stupid

Your audience is increasingly turning to alternatives because of your restrictive practices, and because of the quality of what you are producing. What’s the latest shows in development: Law & Order Special Parking Infringement Unit and CSI: Timbuktu? People are downloading more and more international content because of the complete garbage you now make. If you seriously want to win the hearts and minds of the switched on generation, you need to follow the first three points above, then start producing some decent content as well.

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  1. Chris

    Are you really under the impression that non-geeks know about and understand torrents? The majority of torrent downloads come from geeks, and while there are some that are not, you should probably understand the market before suggesting that “Big TV” make any changes.

    I’m not saying they don’t need to change, but don’t fool yourself into thinking that just because the networks understand the real problem that it will cut down torrent downloads.

    Maybe you should even consider reading fellow TV blogger Nick Gonzalez about music piracy.
    http://www.techcrunch.com/2007.....ic-piracy/

  2. Duncan Riley

    Chris
    outside of the United States in particular: yes. And have you seen the stuff on BitTorrent, would geeks be uploading America’s Next Top Model for example?

  3. Chris

    Duncan: Yes, they would. You don’t understand the piracy world if you ask that question. Release groups and high traffic seeders are all about sticking it too the man, not putting out what they think you want.

    And yes, any geek who has ever seen Adrianne Curry will upload and/or download America’s Next Top Model from BitTorrent. :)

  4. Duncan Riley

    Chris
    explain the 59% in France figure? Explain how the media themselves continue to nominate piracy primarily via BitTorrent as their no.1 threat (front page of The Australian Newspapers Media sector this week, complete with quotes from a who’s who in the US). If you think downloading and piracy isn’t widespread Chris, talk to the TV networks who are shitting themselves over it. They believe that piracy is a problem, I’m simply suggesting some ways they cut reduce this…ultimately people are using downloads as a substitute for choice: sure, as Nick noted, a lot will still download anyway, but many wont either. You can take the high moral ground on piracy when you’re offering people choices, not before then. hell, I’d even support piracy crackdowns if I had a legal way of getting at this content! :-)

  5. Chris

    Duncan: Where did I say piracy was not a problem? I asked if you are really under the impression that non-geeks know about and understand torrents. That link you pointed to says 45% of Europeans watch TV online. It doesn’t say 59% watch via torrents. And even if they did, that’s not my point.

    Look at the Radiohead article, providing legal free downloads has done little to stop torrent downloads of the same. Your suggestion for limiting piracy have already been met with just as much piracy.

  6. Markus

    Pretty much every person I know between 20-30 knows of and has used torrents and none of them are “geeks”

  7. Nikc

    Duncan, re point 2. As you surely know TV networks in Australia are feeling the pressure here and the big shows are now advertised as ’streamed directly from the states’ and showing just days or a few weeks after screening over there. This is a real change affected by ‘piracy’.

    Perhaps they’re paying a premium for this and that would be another reason to lock out the world from Hulu etc?

  8. kyle

    @chris: non-geeks may not understand torrents, but they know about them. and when i put utorrent on my friends computers, they can figure out how to click a link on eztv

    bittorrent is mainstream

  9. Dheeraj Sultanian

    I have personally never gotten anything of value from bittorrent - and nobody I know uses it. That being said, if there is really something I want to watch, I’ll either tivo it or download it on Itunes. Some shows are available to watch free online (or through hulu) - to me waiting to torrent something is substantially more costly than $1.99.

    Techcrunch always suggests content owners give their stuff away - what’s the point? To build viewership? - oh wait, what’s the point in building viewers if you’re not monetizing it. And Itunes is a DRM trap. Why didn’t you mention Amazon’s new service?

    Universal and Fox have been creating and distributing content for decades - I think they know a little more about making money from it than all you web 2.0 wunderkind - youtube has a huge audience, but doesn’t make money and probably never will.

  10. Adam Hyman

    Great article, thanks for telling it like it is!!!

  11. Frank Sinton

    Great summary - thanks. If the TV networks truly want that under 30 crowd, they should follow your points!

  12. Craig Klein

    TV is not the first to go… Its already happened with news, music and advertising…

    Industries revolve around their scarcest resource. It had been the ability to pipe a program into millions of homes. That’s not unique anymore and getting less so.

    In a 400 channel, YouTube world, quality programming is the scarce resource.

    Power will shift away from broadcasters and “studios” and into the hands of the creators - writers, producers, etc.

    The interesting thing to see will be how they manage to monetize this new found power - I doubt it will be limited to selling advertising anymore.

  13. a sober note

    The problem of Big TV (and specifically Hulu) can be readily demonstrated in the hit numbers of the shows offered on AOL’s Hulu channel. Look around, and you will see that only 4 of them have more than 1,000 hits, that is, one whole week after the news broke that these shows are available on AOL. For instance, on the channel’s front page, “30 Rock”, click over to a show that was posted on 10/26, starring Seinfeld, no less, and it has whopping 234 views as of this writing.

    Pathetic, if you ask me. So much for the “positive” coverage of the launch of Hulu.

    Duncan, you are right, either people are getting these shows on BitTorrent or they are just plain not interested in the garbage the Big TV puts out. The latter case, however, gives me hope in the cultural taste of my fellow Americans.

  14. Alaska Miller

    “Would geeks upload Top Model?”

    Yes. The warez groups would. They’ve been uploading and running and distribution all sorts of media since the dawn of time. Back in the day you would get POKEMON THE MOVIE on FTPs and newsgroups downloads if you wanted to. Was it because 7 year old kids are pirates? No, anything was fair game. The point was to be the group with the most releases, most bytes uploaded, the best ratio maintained, and the most prominence. Everything was fair game. That’s the warez community mentality.

    Which also drove the Radiohead In Rainbows issue. Why was it more popular on the torrents instead of being downloaded from Radiohead’s website? Two things: 1. Radiohead’s website sucked so much it was almost impossible to figure out how to download it and 2. Once a torrent is uploaded it is dispersed in an almost automatic fashion. It will transfer from one torrent aggregator to another, and shared from one runner to another. That’s the amalgamated monster that has been cobbled together by the pirates and nerds around the world that RIAA/MPAA is legitimately trying to fight.

  15. Michael

    I, like most of my friends are sick of Australian TV. We get stuff weeks, often months (if at all) after the US.
    It is because of this that my house no longer has a TV antenna, and all TV watched in the house is downloaded.
    If the networks pulled their fingers out and offered the content and shows when they were released, I would have no reason to download tv eps and then save my bandwidth for other things.
    But until then, its bittorrent for me. Channel 7 over here are slowly getting there by offering some shows only a week after they are screened in the US, but I still have about 6 shows that I watch that many people I know have not even heard of.
    Duncan is right on the money, but I think it is going to be a while till something is done about it ‘down under’.

  16. Steve Ballmer

    Big TV may as well give up, as long as there are linux and mac itards there will be theft of content!
    http://fakesteveballmer.blogspot.com

  17. Chris

    @13 - Hulu is a private beta currently. You can’t judge numbers off of it without knowing the number of private accounts active. 234 views actually seems good to me, just guessing that there might be 500-1000 accounts live (my guess, I have no clue though)

    @14 - Thanks for explaining to everyone has the Scene works.

  18. dotcomadvise

    Great article, thanks for telling it to internet world

  19. dopenkly

    Duncan,

    Criticism is a powerful tool and you raise some valued points regarding geographic restrictions. While this is the case, Big TV seems far from clueless- an adjective which I reserve for the RIAA.

    Having just watched an episode of Grey’s Anatomy, that was streamed in near HD quality with limited commercials, I feel that I was delivered a value. I was able to watch my show on demand, albeit a day after the original air date, knowing that my behavior was perfectly within the boundaries of all acceptable terms-of-use.

    Certainly, we cannot expect any media to be completely free. I’m not advocating for more restrictions or less free content, but instead suggest that when an effort is made to capture back a viewer-ship that is not punitive, it may not be that clueless.

    BTW: My 64 year old grandfather is a member of an “elite” private tracker and has a nice ratio, but can’t figure out how to print a letter. I’m not sure, p2p is geeky, nor elite.

  20. dave

    This is the lamest thing I’ve read on TC for a long while. Duncan mate, what are you thinking?! You’re so deep in your web 2.0/mike Arrington fan boy world that you actually think you (a nobody) can solve the growing pains of technology surrounding Big TV. You come off as seeing the entertainment industry as painfully elementary. You’re borderline delusional and this article makes TC look ridiculous. Arrington, wtf are you doing hiring these morons?! Are you on vacation or something?! You need to get back to the office and regulate this crap and maybe hire some people that have respectable knowledge, who aren’t killing this blog. TC is turning into a joke. Surely you have the money to hire a few experts. Why don’t you actually hire some people from the industries you’re idiot staff lambast?

  21. Chris

    @8, thanks for proving my point. It took you to install software on your average friends PCs before they knew what to do with .torrent files. Exactly the point.

  22. Michelle

    I’ve used torrents a few times before, but I did look for legal alternatives before I did it. We really got into Stargate SG-1, and by the time we finished watching Seasons 1-9, it was during the break in season 10. We really wanted to watch the first 10 episodes of season 10 on our TV. Sci-fi wasn’t rerunning them anytime soon, they were being sold on iTunes, but we couldn’t burn them to DVD, they weren’t on Amazon Unbox. There was no DVD yet since it was the middle of the season, so I did the only thing I could do to watch them on my TV - download them as torrents and burn them to DVD.

    Not that I’m saying that’s an excuse, but broadcasters seem to be oblivious to the fact that people do not want to sit in front of their computer to watch their TV shows. My desk chair is not comfortable, nor is it relaxing. I want to be able to watch episodes I missed on my TV in my nice, comfy living room…painlessly.

  23. Robin

    Non-geeks may not know or use torrents much… But there will be always be a geek who takes the responsibility of downloading and distributing the content.. This is especially true in most of the colleges in India.. where geeks download and distribute stuff to others..

  24. Lior Haner

    Chris - I’m from Israel and I wouldn’t be surprised if the European figures were true here. We have a very deep penetration of broad band Internet and almost every household I have been to in the last year has a computer d/l p2p. Not everyone understands torrents but almost everyone uses emule. People who do know torrents d/l and burn DVD’s for friends.

    When you go into a workplace people are often talking about the latest episode of Heroes, Prison Break or House MD that has just aired in the US.
    News and many live sports are available via free streaming so many people I know (me included) have decided to use a Home Theater PC and disconnect from cable TV or Satellite TV and just settle for p2p.

    I’d rather watch shows via streaming with advertising embedded in them (like Hulu - if it was made available to me). The issue is not advertising at all. I don’t have a problem with the big TV (and movie) producers but I do want the experience to be ubiquitous and on demand.

    The technology is out there, now it’s just a matter of time until the incumbents understand that the market has changed and they have to adapt and adopt new practices.

  25. Neil Kelty

    Duncan: Great piece!

  26. techguy

    Where did you get this line from “People are downloading more and more international content because of the complete garbage you now make.”?

    I’ve never downloaded an international show and I don’t know any of my friends that have downloaded an international show (except for ones that are from that country).

    If some people are downloading international content, it’s because they never had the option before and not because the US based content is so crappy.

    The only major international content I’ve seen on torrents has been Japanese anime and a few things I didn’t understand the language. I’m pretty sure that most english speaking americans aren’t going to be downloading the latest chinese show.

  27. Tom

    @15: As an American living in Singapore - I feel your pain. At the same time, consider yourself lucky — here you don’t get the shows for at least 6 months after they have run in the U.S. It is truly a shame how bad TV can be in one of the most developed countries in the world. But I digress.

    The biggest problem I see with advertising driven content being internationally distributed is that typical TV advertising is locale centric. Why would Ford Motor Company want to shell out money to advertise the 2008 Taurus worldwide when the only place they sell the car is North America? Until this advertising model changes, I don’t feel that there is hope for the worldwide availability of first-run shows.

  28. Steve Jobs

    #4 - so true.

    Bring back Firefly!!!

  29. S

    Duncan,

    Once again you show yourself to be an idiot.

    All of these restrictions are designed to protect MASSIVE revenue streams.

    Simple as this: if full archives are available on Hulu, and Hulu is open to all of the world, then DEALS WITH INT’L BROADCASTERS SIMPLY WONT BE MADE. You think they’re going to license content when its available on their website?

    On top of that, who is going to distribute or buy DVD box sets when its all online for free? The ads are not anything CLOSE to the money they make with these deals.

    BT is not a big threat for TV shows. The reason is that the people who download full seasons are in small amount. So, they can still syndicate heftily. BT is still hard to use because of the fact that you have to know how to open ports on your router in order to get speeds above 1 kb/s.

    Streaming sites are more of a threat but still, these restrictions you whine about are in place because it makes FAR MORE sense to do that then to cannibalize big time syndication money.

    Think like a business man, after all, isn’t this a business blog? It’s not a freaking consumer rant blog, and that’s what this post is.

    Duncan your articles continue to piss me off and I don’t know why you still write here. Nothing personal but I don’t think this is your thing. I’m sure you’re a nice, educated guy but come on.

  30. Steve McMurray

    One of the reasons the French watch so much TV on their computers is that TVs are taxed. Watching on a computer avoids the tax, which is 116 Euros per year. Second, in too many countries, TV broadcasting is so hyper-regulated, attempting to protect the domestic industry, that importing US shows isn’t that easy.

    Furthermore, differences in speech laws make things even more difficult. Yahoo found this out with auctions (Nazi stuff), and I suspect that in the broadcast world things are similarly tricky.

    So let’s put ‘Big Government’ at the top of the list of those ‘limiting choice’. They are hardly friends of consumers.

    As is too often the case, you put forth simplistic arguments to complicated issues and claim that the industry is just being stupid. For once, put yourself in their position and try to see things from the eyes of a studio or network executive (or even a record label president, but that’s off topic). Almost all of the offered solutions amount to ‘give consumers everything they want for free, and worry about how to make money later’. Hardly a workable strategy.

  31. Paul Burland

    I was living in Brazil for the last 10 months and I can tell you that bit torrents aren’t only the domain of the geeks. People of all types are flocking to bit torrents because of many of the reasons stated above. The hype comes over from the States about a show but then the show follows a year or more later. Talk about idiotic!

  32. a sober note

    To #30 Steve McMurray,

    You said: “Almost all of the offered solutions amount to ‘give consumers everything they want for free, and worry about how to make money later’. Hardly a workable strategy.”

    I know of at least 2 guys who would disagree with you — they are Larry Page and Sergey Brin, and they founded a little company called “Google”.

  33. Chris(also)

    @Chris, you talk about “knowing about” and “understanding” torrents as if they are the same thing. With torrent clients being as easy to download and use as they are these days, and the amount of publicity and the speed that this kind of knowledge spreads especially among school and college attenders, I would say that there is a very high level of knowledge of torrents, and a very high usage of torrents. I’d guess higher than 90% knowledge, probably 50%usage for US school and college attenders, but I don’t have figures to back that up.

    As for people who “understand” torrents, that’s much fewer, but it doesn’t matter. Many don’t “understand” computers, but still manage to produce web-sites, blogs, upload to flickr, belong to facebook etc..etc..

    Using bittorrent is no longer the underground black art that it used to be. It’s mainstream. My nephew probably does it, downloading (and uploading) stuff while he potters off to play pirates or watch the latest tellytubbies clone on TV. He doesn’t understand how he’s doing it, or where the stuff comes from. He doesn’t need to.

    He probably doesn’t know its free, because he doesn’t know he should have paid for it in the first place. That nice cardboard and plastic box with the DVD inside that contains pictures of the cartoon stars of the show he just downloaded, and the plastic toy inside, and the pretty booklet with pictures…that’s something that he has to pay for (or rather my sister does). He sees the money (or the card) being handed over in the toy store.

    Watching something on TV (sorry on the computer screen)? That’s something that happens for free…

    Those are the people the networks are afraid of, because they are growing up with an attitude and a behaviour pattern that’s turning the networks revenue model on its head. They don’t care about the pirate dedicated to seeding and “sticking it to the man”, because in the long term, they are irrelevant, and never were a revenue stream.

    Kids will take the place of these pirates if the networks do manage to shut them down…then machines will be created that can do the same thing automatically. The thing the networks are afraid of is that people stop giving them their money. They need to stop that from becoming everyday part of our culture almost at any cost.

    Chris Too.

  34. Adam Benayoun

    @1 - you might be wrong here, the torrent became commodity for a bigger chunk of the internet today.

    I have say that I’ve seen many non-geeks using it (People who have problem with installing software or turning on the computer, knows how to download musics and movies via torrents).

    That’s alone show the real pain imposed to users today, prices are too high, too many limitations of when/where/what to show/listen.
    I wouldn’t give this industry too much time to live if they don’t morph soon.

    http://www.octabox.com

  35. xix

    #32 is absolutely right. When companies start to think about the viewers first and then about the money they will earn even more money. Maybe it sounds ridiculous but if you think about it, the reputation and the users’ opinions are the most important things.

    Instead of thinking about how to fight against the pirates they should think about how to give their users what they want (for free or for a reasonable price) without a delay.

  36. Petri Pokka

    @Chris, completely support you.

    Here in Finland high-speed internet is everywhere and thus torrents are used even by not so tech savvy to watch US TV shows we would wait several years to see otherwise.

  37. Alexander Klimetschek

    Duncan, it’s funny to read that you think the US tv shows are getting worse…. in Germany it’s like the only interesting series are those from the US, because german tv is much worse - the budgets are a whole lot smaller. And because it takes a year for the shows to come to germany, I like bt or sites like sidereel to watch my favorite shows a day later ;-) It’s all about choice and flexibility.

  38. Blake Brannon

    This is great. We should all print this out and mail it to NBC.

    They are not playing the same game with their TV broadcast model and their is a new audience in town. We are a high tech on demand bread of people and they are not changing to support that.

  39. booboy

    @20

    dave,
    what makes you believe michael cares? here’s how i see duncan being REALLY valuable:

    1) Duncan writes a crappy article
    2) logical people like u and me get pissed off, write comments (that involves us visiting the TC blog)
    3) Readership increases
    4) TC increases CPM rates because of increased readership
    5) TC makes more money!!

    Get it? It’s the FOX model - but how would TC know to use this model? Oh wait, they hired someone from FOX ;-)

  40. Daniel Rhodes

    I’m not supporting TV networks here, but there is a lot going on under the hood here in terms of these shows that a lot of people don’t realize. These TV networks typically do not make these shows, they buy the distribution rights from production companies, who actually make the show. These production companies license out the shows to a specific geographic area for a specific time and offer these TV networks distribution rights for the DVD for example. Hulu is not limiting the shows to the US because it wants to, but because it is contractually bound by the terms of the licensing agreement to do so. Obviously over time, they are going to realize that the licensing agreements they’ve made are hurting them since it does not apply to the Internet so well.

  41. S

    Duncan doesn’t even know how the licensing of shows work. These networks dont have the rights to just do whatever they want with shows. They license them for TV most of the time and that’s it.

    Duncan is a SORRY excuse for a journalist - oh wait, he’s a “blogger”.. right

  42. AnonTroll

    I tend to agree with the 1st Chris in saying that torrents are still mostly geeks domain. I am a software engineer and though I have used torrents intermittently, I finally installed utorrent last week and had to open up ports in my router and local PC firewall. Not something for the average consumer to do easily I must say. Also, I am have a 3MB DSL line, so it takes a long time to download a big file, again not something that your average consumer cares to do. Oh and how about this, I had to download a video 3 times over because the first 2 times, it was in Spanish, argh. But of course since there are no standard torrent description format, this can happen. And how many of you have hit the dreaded no seed problem and get stuck not being able to get the whole file. Don’t remind me of not knowing what the quality is until the whole file is downloaded. So as you see, there are potentially many gotchas with torrent which the average consumer would rather dispense with. If there is a choice between streaming and torrent, consumers will opt for streaming, that is if they can even figure out how to get usable content with torrents.

  43. Ido

    My advice to the “big TV” companies - stop fighting it, cut the middleman and join the crowd.

    About 80% of the people I know (ages 20-35) download some of their shows from p2p networks, some of those 80% (and the numbers are rising each year) don’t have Satellite or Cable TV - just p2p shows, so the world is changing - the International crowd doesn’t want to wait more than the American crowd for tv shows - they want it now and they don’t want to pay for it.

    My advice, and I hope one of the execs are reading this:
    a) create a new file format which is close to .avi - this format, and you’ll probably screw this, should be OPEN, meaning - every one can make a player to read the format, I’m saying open because what I secretly want is that I’ll know that you won’t stick any DRM or spyware into it. I know its tempting, but I won’t use it if I feel you’re trying to trick me, and frankly, the bad publicity of such a stunt will cut you deep - look at sony.
    b) the file format above will have the same quality (or better) of an avi file, but will also contain ads downloaded per IP (city) on the first play.
    c) create a free tool to convert your format to avi with the ads inserted into the stream - for those who prefer to watch the video on their dvd player or ipod.
    d) upload the files to emule, bittorrent and make sure that I will be able to know that you are behind those files (for example, publish the links on your web site).

    so what do the big TV gain from this? targeted ads per city - get the money from the advertisers, skip the cable companies - who needs them?
    they’ll also get true statistics on viewers taste - which amounts to money in deciding which show to produce and which show is worth more money in ads.

    what do I as a consumer get? first, I’ll know that I’m not pirating the show, I’ll get it at the second it’s on the air, and I’ll have the ease of mind that my copy is high quality.

  44. WD

    hulu could be big if they allow downloading for other devices.

  45. GeraldZ

    It’s just a matter of time until paid television migrates to ip. Who wouldn’t be interested in reaching millions of new subscribers worldwide?

    I believe that smaller, niche content providers will lead the pack with interesting, high-quality content. When the big boys see their customers turning to this new low-cost venue, then they’ll be forced to join the party.

    http://www.zipityzap.com is seeking financing

  46. Steve Turner

    On the whole a reasonably interesting article, and it makes some good points, but does miss a few things. The main thing of course is that networks aren’t going to make these massive changes while they still get huge revenue from international television sales. They’re not convinved of Internet ad revenue, and they’re not willing to make any changes until they’re desperate enough to do so. How long that takes (or if it happens at all), remains to be seen.

    As for a lot of the bitching in the comments here, I think most of this comes from Duncan’s point of view as an Australian versus the prevailing point of view of the mostly American audience here.

    What Americans don’t get is that torrenting shows is becoming increasingly popular in places like Australia, UK and other major western countries because we have high speed broadband (to various degrees) and we want to see the US shows as quickly as possible. Americans don’t get this because they don’t have to resort to this. It is American viewers that are offered every legal alternative, from iTunes to Hulu to every other broadband initiative, and every time the rest of the world is blocked out.

    We (I’m Australian too) have never been offered any of these choices, so more of us turn to torrents (or YouTube), because it’s the only choice we’ve had. Americans who don’t believe this is becoming more mainstream haven’t seen it become mainstream in the US because it hasn’t needed to — you guys get the other options already.

    The ratings for most foreign shows in Australia have gone down (sometimes significantly) in the last couple of years, while local shows are rating better than ever. It’s hard not to see increasingly downloads as a major cause for this — and if we were offered quick and legal options, networks here and overseas would see the results. But they’d have to be options that offered the same convenience and lack of DRM as we have now (I’d take ads), otherwise no one will change their habits (and we know how likely this offer is in the current climate).

    Even if torrenting is somewhat complicated, take everyone with a PC, and everyone with broadband, and assume they have at least heard of downloading TV shows. And if that amount of the population can do it, soon enough they will (if they actually want to watch any of the stuff, of course). That sounds like mainstream to me.

  47. Pierre Col - UbicMedia

    A smart way to deliver multimedia content without suffering piracy:
    http://killerstartups.com/eCom.....tion-Game/

    It will be used soon by independant movie producers in the US…

  48. Jerry

    There are so many problems with Duncan’s analysis. #40 gets it. Duncan says” Take what you can and provide a legal alternative to your international viewers.” What do you even mean by “YOUR international viewers”? There is no NBC outside the states. Are you talking about the network’s viewers? There aren’t any. Are you talking the production companies viewers? Well, they have deals they have already signed that have to be honored, but on top of that just who are you addressing here? It appears you are addressing the co-owners of Hulu? What is their connection to the shows you are discussing? You are pointing your criticism/suggestions to the end of the food-chain, where it should be directed to the front of the chain. Do you know how the Televison business even works? (Obviously not.) Why are you addressing the regional distributor with this non-sense? Do you know how many of NBC’s shows are, in actuality, NBC’s SHOWS? Very few. Leno (on a split), NBC Nightly News, Today, couple others, that’s about it. Do you think the peacock network actually OWNS 30 Rock, or SNL, or sports, etc, etc…. Well, NO Bucky, they own the LICENSE to broadcast it at a certain time and within a certain geographic location. Why do you think you’ve heard of people like Lorne Michaels or Jerry Bruckheimer? Why do you think it says Broadway Video at the end of SNL? Ever heard of ‘Worldwide Pants’? What do you think these companies do. Or did you just not consider that the PRODUCERS actually do anything or have any rights? Hello?Or did you even know that people like Tina Fey and Oprah and Letterman and many others have their own production companies who may make an NBC deal that does not necessarily always include other territories. (Like maybe a little thing called the NFL, or the Olympics, Mr. Riley - have you even thought it through???) In fact, syndicated shows (like Oprah/KingWorld, for example - and many others) are not even on the same network throughout the United States, let alone the world, so who controls THOSE rights, Mr. Know-it-All?. (It may be an NBC affiliate in Chicago and a CBS affiliate in Atlanta (guessing). For those who THINK they know tech, they almost never know the content business (because it is A LOT more complicated than what you think you see from the outside), they leave a lot to be desired (i.e. understood) when it comes to knowing BUSINESS and the contractual relationships that exist with this business per se. By Duncan referring to it as BIG TV, just goes to show his lack of understanding. BIG TV is made up of many, many, many smaller puzzle pieces that don’t all move as one just because they may reside on a single network. Before you go suggesting what “BIG TV” should be doing, perhaps it would help if you remotely tried to do your homework and figured out that there is no BIG TV, but rather a panoply of smaller parts that in some cases funnel through a network apparatus that may or may NOT exert control over other areas of the exploitation universe before making such vague, uninformed and simplistic comments here or anywhere else.

    Also, good to know that Hulu is up for ‘combating privacy.’ (graph 3) Glad someone’s finally working on that here, too.

  49. =Jason

    Damn Duncan, I’ve never seen a blogger take so much heat than the stories you post.

  50. Ido

    @Jerry

    All valid arguments, but what you refuse to see is that the “big TV” companies have enough power to change the rules of the game, and that in the end, it’s going to be to their advantage.

    if all the network companies change their business model to an international, ad based service, who’s there to stop them?

    network companies in the world (Australia, UK, etc) might try to stop it, and you know what, they might even succeed for a limited time, but they will fail at the end. American network companies just have too much power to be stopped.

    It all sums to money. if NBC can promise roughly the same amount of money to the producer company as they’re world wide contracts, then NBC will get exclusive rights. My guess is that the world is rapidly getting there because the international crowd is moving into getting their content through the internet, and the American network companies got a chance to fill this gap and get revenue from around the world.

  51. Mark

    Personally I’m quite happy with things the way they are. Let all the mugs download the low quality, DRM infected garbage from Crapple’s iTunes, or sit in front of their computers watching a truckload of adverts on Hulu. These are the people that will keep the content companies in business (as well as the spammers, scammers and bot herders). Meanwhile I can download a mountain of high quality content (with all the crappy adverts removed), and watch it in the comfort of my lounge on my nice new plasma panel …. lovely.

    @Dheeraj Sultanian

    “I have personally never gotten anything of value from bittorrent”

    Well then it is clear that you don’t know how to use it, or where to look for content. What did you do, install a torrent client and then expect it to read your mind and download your desired content automatically?

    @AnonTroll

    “I finally installed uTorrent last week and had to open up ports in my router and local PC firewall”

    Actually you didn’t. uTorrent supports Universal Plug and Play which (as you should know) is a feature available on nearly all modern routers and deals with the router firewall problem automatically. This makes things easy for “Joe Public”.

    As for the PC software firewall, if they are clued up enough to have one then they will be clued up enough to allow a torrent client. I.e. When the prompt pops up saying “uTorrent.exe is trying to access the internet” all one has to do is click the “Allow” button. We are not talking “rocket science”, my cat could do it.

    @S

    “All of these restrictions are designed to protect MASSIVE revenue streams”

    Errrr, yeah. Do you really think we give a sh*t?

    Please remember. Bittorrent clients are getting easier to use. Content is getting easier to find. Broadband is getting faster and cheaper every year. More and more members of the public are getting PIG SICK of corporate greed and joke copyright laws. Also it is now common knowledge that the risk of getting caught is less than the risk of getting stuck by lightning (even if you don’t take any precautions). Thus, the “MASSIVE revenue streams” will continue to shrink year on year.

    So ….. Here is a message for all you cigar chomping Fat Cats sitting behind your big desks. You need to wake up and realise that you are no longer the ones in control. There are lots of us who are happy to pay, but only for things that we want. All your attempts to bully us into paying for things we don’t want will fail.

    When it comes to media ….. We want it as soon as it is released, in our format of choice, at decent level of quality and without DRM, and if you won’t sell it to us then we will get it from someone else. I’m sorry if you don’t like it, but that’s the way it is. If you want to stop producing content then that’s fine. I’m sure that there are plenty of savvy, less greedy business people who would be willing to “step up to the plate” and become very rich by delivering the desired product.

    End of message.

  52. helge

    Great piece. Just one issue: CSI Timbuktu would definitely be the first CSI that I’d really want to watch. Go for it, BiG TV!

  53. Anthony Kuhn

    Duncan:

    They’ll catch on when they go out of business; “they” being the slow-dying dinosaurs known as the networks that once were in the land before time. I cross-posted on your piece to http://blog.innovators-network.org The Innovators Network is a non-profit dedicated to bringing technology to startups, small businesses, non-profits, venture capitalists and intellectual property experts. Please visit us and help grow our community!

    Best wishes for continued success,

    Anthony Kuhn
    Innovators Network