Claro, estou exagerando. Há alguns meses um artigo na revista Wired chamado The Rise of Crowdsourcing mostrou como a multidão pode ajudar organizações a completar tarefas e diminuir custos. O crowdsourcing é o “novo lugar da mão-de-obra bar…

http://harry.hchen1.com/2006/10/03/391

What do you guys think? - HC

Mark Cuban has written about this with considerably more insight than those that have no experence in this medium but think they do.

http://www.blogmaverick.com/20.....iz-lesson/

Here’s the money shot from Cuban’s post:

“And as far as the perspective of giving users what they want and they want downloads. If we dont offer them downloads, they will find downloads on their own , just as we saw in the music business… Nope. This aint the music business. This aint 3 minute songs that download in under a minute and allow users the option of getting the 1 song they like instead of a package of 10. IF movies were sold in prepackaged albums of 10 movies. Maybe. If movies were 3 minutes in length. Maybe. If watching on a computer or on an Ipod was as good an experience and often better than watching on the smallest TV in the house, maybe. But its not.

Watching video on a computer or on a PDA/Ipod is a 2nd class experience. It works amazingly well as a time killer on a bus, plane, lunchroom. It works good enough in a dorm room or your apartment bedroom, but its not going to replace watching on a real tv. It will always be a niche market in every manner.

and for all you “but i can and do download everything ” types. Good for you. Get up and away from your computer and go see how the rest of the country lives. And when you hit 27, get a real job or move out of your parents house, whichever comes first, tell me if you are still downloading 10 movies and burning them for your friends and creating 10 playlists for Itunes every week like you did in college or when you first graduated. At some point you realize the time you spend downloading and burning to a DVD is worth more than the 10 bucks to go to a movie or 20 bucks or less to buy the movie. When that happens you will have figured out that all that time you spend burning DVDs and trying to manage space on your hard drive wasnt worth it”

It will be interesting to see what brilliant ideas will come out of this.

It time to move beyond the various extensions of collaborative filtering mechanisms. I would imagine that the way to improve upon the existing recommendations is by breaking the movies down along a lot richer set of attributes (similar to the Music Genome project http://pandora.com/mgp.shtml). Based on better understanding of movies, better recommendations should be possible.

These are a few reasons i can think of for Netflix’ demise if they don’t get with the program. Granted they won’t go out of business anytime soon, but their current busines model is on a path to incrmental if non-existent growth.

With the popularity of the svcs mentioned, people want video on-demand now and without a lot of fuss. This is made even more convenient with the popularity of laptops surpassing that of desktops.

I used to think tht Netflix was the next best thing to apple pie, but with the inconvenience of physical delivery, returns, late,misplaced,wrong disks it’s just not worth the time and effort. with so much quality video on the net competing for eyeballs along with limited time and bandwidth, who wants to deal with the hassles of ‘physical delivery/fulfillment’…

While competitors, upstarts and the likes of YouTube et al compete for eyeballs and mktshare, Netflix is still in the ‘bricks & morter’ mode of video distribution. Unless they get their act together fast, they will likely fade into oblivion as more efficient means of video consumption gain critical mass.

Você conhece o Netflix? Se trata de um serviço de aluguel online de DVDs. Funciona da seguinte maneira:

Eu assino um dos planos
Crio uma lista dos DVDs que desejo assistir
Eles me enviam os DVDs via correio de acordo com o plano (3 DVDs, 1 DVD, 2 D…

So, unless there’s an additional user-controlled component, such as “show me only recommendations from these group of users,” you’ll only get junk.

A “circles-of-trust” algorithm, where users give a particular user’s recommendation more (or less) weight would work best. I have very good friends who’s recommendations I don’t follow at all. Some other friends, I know I can trust for certain genres only. Some mere acquaintances give wonderful movie suggestions. Now, if I could call on them while at the video store… that would be great. I’m sure Netflix could pull this off.

there are more details on the site.